Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Banska Bystrica had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Banska Bystrica win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trencin would win this match.