Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Zilina win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.