Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Pedrinho 34' goal
  • Marlon Gomes 54' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Tobias 80' goal
  • Gleiker Mendoza 86' goal
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 18'
  • goal Lovro Majer 28'
  • yellowcard Harold Moukoudi 42'
  • yellowcard Răzvan Marin 61'
  • yellowcard Barnabás Varga 90'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

AEK Athens

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
AEK Athens 1 - 0 LASK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 28.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.69% ▼ (-0.03)
AEK Athens 45.67% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.83% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.5% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.5% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 47.5% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 52.5% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 26.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 73.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 15.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.8% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 25.38%
Draw 44.28%
AEK Athens 30.34%

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 42.37% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.09% ▼ (-0.03)
AEK Athens 49.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 41.5%
Equal 8 12.21%
Under 8 46.29%
Over 9 30.55%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 58.51%
Over 10.5 21.53%
Under 10.5 78.47%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 28.39%
Under 1.5 71.61%
Over 2.5 9.63%
Under 2.5 90.37%
Over 3.5 3.19%
Under 3.5 96.81%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 73.69% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 26.31% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 42.09% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 57.91% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 18.71% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 81.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 6.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.26% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 28.68%
Draw 25.69%
AEK Athens 45.66%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.69%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 45.66%