Serie B Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • Matteo Brunori 19' goal
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 55'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Estévez 75'

Ascoli vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 2.00pm
Arezzo 0 - 0 Ascoli
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Andrea Silipo

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 6.30pm
Palermo 3 - 1 Vicenza
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Dennis Johnsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Ascoli 39% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 28.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Palermo 32.5% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.83% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 29.87% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 44.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 55.22% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 23.71% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 76.29% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.53% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Ascoli 26.09%
Draw 44.69%
Palermo 29.22%

Team To Score First

Ascoli 44.34% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 9.14% ▼ (-0.10)
Palermo 46.52% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 65.89%
Equal 8 10.8%
Under 8 23.31%
Over 9 54.12%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 34.1%
Over 10.5 42.42%
Under 10.5 57.58%

Ascoli Goals

Over 1.5 36.3% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 63.7% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 13.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Ascoli 39%
Draw 28.5%
Palermo 32.51%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.5%
Palermo
0-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 37
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Matteo Brunori 1' goal
  • Salim Diakite 16' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Soleri 34' goal
  • Liam Henderson 64' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 73' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 90' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Caligara 27'
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 45'+1'
  • goal Fabrizio Caligara 90'+3'
Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • William Viali 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Aurelio 24'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Coulibaly 89'
  • goal Leonardo Mancuso 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 29, 2023 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • Francesco Forte 64' goal
  • goal Matteo Brunori 15'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 82'
Serie B Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Roberto Crivello 32' yellowcard
  • Matteo Brunori 36' goal
  • Nicola Valente 60' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Segre 63' goal
  • Nicola Valente 89' redcard
  • goal Cedric Gondo 27'
  • yellowcard Cedric Gondo 45'+3'
  • goal Cedric Gondo 45'+5'
  • goal Cedric Gondo 52'
  • yellowcard Francesco Donati 76'
  • yellowcard Nicola Leali 82'
Serie B Gameweek 37
May 4, 2019 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)
  • Bright Addae 63' goal
  • Federico Casarini 80' yellowcard
  • goal Stefano Moreo 60'
  • yellowcard Stefano Moreo 65'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rajkovic 73'
  • yellowcard Mato Jajalo 76'
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Szyminski 85'
  • goal Nicolas Haas 86'
Serie B Gameweek 18
Dec 27, 2018 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Filippo Perucchini 26' goal
  • Mato Jajalo 58' yellowcard
  • Ivaylo Chochev 74' goal
  • Przemyslaw Szyminski 87' goal
  • yellowcard Bright Addae 68'