Serie B Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 4.15pm
Mantova 0 - 2 Palermo
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Dennis Johnsen

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.00pm
Carrarese 2 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw has a probability of 24.93% and a win for Carrarese has a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Carrarese win it is 0-1 (5.79%).

Result

Palermo 56.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Carrarese 18.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 26.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 49.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.02%
Under 3.5 72.98%
Over 4.5 15.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.01% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Palermo 39.92%
Draw 41.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Carrarese 18.91% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Palermo 57.47% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Carrarese 34.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.43%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 23.95%
Over 9 53.91%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 34.57%
Over 10.5 42.49%
Under 10.5 57.51%

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 50.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.65%
Under 2.5 75.35%
Over 3.5 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 52.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 47.53% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 93.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Palermo 56.33%
Draw 24.92%
Carrarese 18.7%
Palermo
1-0 @ 12.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.92%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 5.79%
1-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.7%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Tommaso Rubino 66' yellowcard
  • Jonas Rouhi 66' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 78' yellowcard
  • Nikola Sekulov 87' yellowcard
  • Devid Eugene Bouah 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 19'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Segre 46'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszyński 46'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 50'
  • yellowcard Dennis Johnsen 64'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 87'
  • yellowcard 87'
Serie B
Nov 29, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jacopo Segre 24' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 30' yellowcard
  • Antonio Palumbo 44' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 48' goal
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 72' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 82' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 40'
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Calabrese 80'
Serie B Gameweek 34
May 13, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 14' yellowcard
  • Francesco Di Mariano 53' yellowcard
  • Salim Diakite 68' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 86' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 86' yellowcard
  • goal Stiven Shpendi 16'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Guarino 21'
  • redcard Gabriele Guarino 57'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 86'
Serie B Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Gabriele Guarino 73' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 77' goal
  • Stiven Shpendi 79' yellowcard
  • Manuel Cicconi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Ceccaroni 70'