Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.27% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.88%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.71%) , while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.