Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.07%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Oviedo in this match.