Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Albacete win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.