Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mallorca in this match.