Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
