Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
