Segunda Division Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
  • Eladio Zorrilla 1' yellowcard
  • Eladio Zorrilla 29' goal
  • David Simon 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Gallar 61' goal
  • Alberto de la Bella 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Seoane 27'
  • yellowcard Edu Campabadal 31'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Djalo 67'
  • yellowcard Borja Dominguez 69'
  • goal Jose Angel Carrillo 88'
  • yellowcard Xavi Torres 90'+6'

Cartagena vs Lugo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 27, 2020 7.30pm
Leganes 3 - 1 Cartagena
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ruben Castro

Lugo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 27, 2020 11.00am
Lugo 0 - 2 Almeria
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Manu Barreiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.51%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result

Cartagena 42.51%
Draw 28.96%
Lugo 28.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 37.06%
Under 2.5 62.94%
Over 3.5 17.57%
Under 3.5 82.43%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5 70.66%
Under 0.5 29.34%
Over 1.5 34.68%
Under 1.5 65.32%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5 61.27%
Under 0.5 38.72%
Over 1.5 24.54%
Under 1.5 75.46%

Score analysis

Cartagena 42.51%
Draw 28.95%
Lugo 28.52%
Cartagena
1-0 @ 13.93%
2-0 @ 8.54%
2-1 @ 8.1%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 42.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.95%
Lugo
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.52%