Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 35.67%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.