Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.