Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stark's Park
Raith Rovers0 - 3Dundee
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee |
| 30.64% | 25.85% | 43.51% |
| Both teams to score 53.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% | 50.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% | 66.89% |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% | 23.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% | 57.13% |
| Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers 30.64%
Dundee 43.51%
Draw 25.84%
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.64% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.51% |


