Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.