Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gala Fairydean Rovers win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gala Fairydean Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.