Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.