Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.