Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 73.75% | 16.52% | 9.73% |
| Both teams to score 46.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.51% | 9.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.16% | 31.84% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.67% | 48.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.53% | 83.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 12.71% 1-0 @ 10.79% 3-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.88% 4-1 @ 4.28% 5-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.52% Total : 73.73% | 1-1 @ 7.85% 0-0 @ 4.59% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.52% | 0-1 @ 3.34% 1-2 @ 2.86% 0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.73% |