Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 33.13% | 28.87% | 38% |
| Both teams to score 45.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.47% | 61.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.61% | 81.39% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% | 31.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% | 67.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.26% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3% Total : 37.99% |