Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 34.96% | 26.64% | 38.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% | 52.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% | 74.58% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% | 28.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% | 64.78% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |