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Orlando City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 23, 2021 at 1.02am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
San Jose Earthquakes

Orlando City
5 - 0
Earthquakes

Nani (7' pen.), Michel (16', 90'), Dike (31', 49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Judson (25'), Alanis (52')

Preview: Orlando City vs. San Jose Earthquakes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Orlando City play host to San Jose Earthquakes on Tuesday night looking to strengthen their hold of second place in the Eastern Conference.

While the home side are impressing on one side of the United States, the Earthquakes are down in eighth spot in the Western Conference after a five-match winless streak.


Match preview

Orlando City head coach Oscar Pareja on May 8, 2021© Reuters

Orlando have not had it all their own way this season, winning just half of their opening eight fixtures and possessing the fourth-best attack.

However, Saturday night's thrilling 3-2 triumph at Toronto FC moved Oscar Pareja's side into a position where they are now regarded as the nearest challengers to New England Revolution.

There are still five points separating the Lions to the pacesetters, but Junior Urso's late strike in Canada has handed his team a much-needed boost after their previous defeat at New York Red Bulls.

The fixture at the weekend also featured the return of former Portugal star Nani, who contributed his fourth goal from just six outings this season.

At a time when Orlando are on a high and looking to chase down top spot, the Earthquakes are becoming increasingly eager to end a run of form which has left the club outside of the playoff places.

Although Saturday's goalless draw with Austin FC was a step in the right direction, Matias Almeyda will be concerned with how his players have lost their way after a bright start to the campaign.

Not even the return of club legend Chris Wondolowski could improve their fortunes in the final third, the Earthquakes now having scored just once in five contests.

Victory on Tuesday should be enough to take the team back into the top six, but Almeyda may be more wary of his team moving closer to the bottom of the standings now that they hold just a three-point advantage over FC Dallas.

Orlando have conceded just once in their four home fixtures this season, highlighting the size of the task in front of the Earthquakes at the Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Almeyda will consider handing recalls to the likes of Cade Cowell and Carlos Fierro for this encounter.

Andres Rios is likely to drop out of the Earthquakes starting lineup, while 38-year-old Wondolowski may be rested after coming through 82 minutes at the weekend.

Daryl Dike made his return to the Orlando squad at the weekend after his hugely impressive loan spell at Barnsley.

However, the young American striker is likely to be kept in reserve for this contest with Pareja contemplating naming an unchanged starting XI.

Orlando remain without Pedro Gallese and Sebastian Mendez due to their participation in the Copa America.

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Austin; Smith, Carlos, Jansson, Moutinho; Urso, Perea; Water, Pereyra, Nani; Akindele

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Judson, Jungwirth, Alanis, Marie; Yueill, Remedi; Espinoza, Lopez, Fierro; Cowell


SM words green background

We say: Orlando City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Having finally halted their losing streak at the weekend, we feel that the Earthquakes will play with more belief in their next game. Nevertheless, we still expect the home side to prevail in this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three after a hard-fought battle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Orlando City vs Earthquakes

Orlando City
Draw
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City
93.2%
Draw
6.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
44
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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