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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Juventus logo
Salernitana
0 - 2
Juventus

Gagliolo (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (21'), Morata (70')
Locatelli (60')

Preview: Salernitana vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

As their coach's second reign continues to drift towards disaster, under-pressure Juventus travel south to take on Serie A's bottom side Salernitana on Tuesday.

Max Allegri's decision-making has come under further scrutiny after a week in which Juve lost at home and abroad, so only three points will do when they meet a team struggling to adapt to the Italian top flight.


Match preview

Juventus coach Massimiliano Allegri reacts on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Despite futile efforts at a second-half comeback, Juventus lurched to their second straight defeat - and fourth in seven games - at home to fellow top-four contenders Atalanta on Saturday evening.

The Old Lady's frustrated fans howled with anguish inside the Allianz Stadium, as the visitors took the lead through Duvan Zapata's 28th-minute strike and refused to relinquish it, despite Paulo Dybala hitting the crossbar with a late free-kick.

Since their Coppa Italia final victory over the same opponents back in May, former coach Andrea Pirlo's subsequent departure for Max Allegri to return has seen no discernible improvement in fortunes for the 36-times national champions.

Indeed, Juventus have registered just 18 goals in their 14 Serie A matches this term, the lowest total in the top half of the division, as Dybala, Alvaro Morata and company have blown hot and primarily cold.

Their latest loss not only follows a humbling 4-0 defeat at Chelsea in the Champions League last week, but also comes in the wake of reverses against mid-table outfits Sassuolo and Verona, so a further failure in Salerno would be unthinkable for the Turin giants.

Sitting eighth in the standings ahead of a favourable run of domestic fixtures - and with Champions League progress already assured - Juve must surely embark on a winning run now or never if they are to revive an ailing season.

Salernitana players line up before their match against Roma on August 29, 2021© Reuters

Though they will, of course, be underdogs when Serie A's most successful club come to town, Salernitana can prepare for the visit of Juventus in good spirits, after they salvaged a precious point in the battle of the bottom two last Friday.

On-loan Sampdoria striker Federico Bonazzoli pulled the Granata level just as the game was entering second-half stoppage time, and a 1-1 draw at Cagliari was more certainly more gratefully received by Stefano Colantuono's side than their frustrated hosts.

Nevertheless, Salernitana - currently conceding goals at a rate of over two per game - have won just two of their 14 league matches this season to collect eight points in total, and are mired in a relegation scrap as they aim to avoid an immediate return to Serie B.

Having been out of the big time for two decades, the Salerno side will simply be glad of the opportunity to welcome Juve to Stadio Arechi in midweek, and anything other than a defeat would be a bonus ahead of another tough test away to Milan next weekend.

They also tackle unpredictable entertainers Fiorentina and reigning champions Inter before the winter break, so things may have to get worse before they get any better for Serie A's last-placed side.

Salernitana Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Juventus Serie A form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Juventus form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Juventus attacker Federico Chiesa in action against Chelsea on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Juventus have a couple of new injury concerns before the trip to Campania, as Federico Chiesa sustained an injury at the end of the first half against Atalanta, subsequently limping off the pitch and then failing to appear after the break.

Midfielder Weston McKennie - recently a mainstay in Max Allegri's engine room - was also substituted just after the hour mark due to injury, and could join Chiesa on the sidelines on Tuesday. Mattia Di Sciglio, Aaron Ramsey and Danilo were already absent from the squad and are not expected to recover yet.

Veteran captain Giorgio Chiellini and his fellow Italy international Federico Bernardeschi were both back at Allegri's disposal on Saturday though, and featured on the bench, so should now be ready to start.

After another below-par showing at the Allianz Stadium, struggling striker Alvaro Morata - with just two goals from his first 12 league appearances - could be dropped for the similarly underperforming Moise Kean.

Salernitana have also failed to fire in attack this term, and their cause will not be helped by an injury to Cedric Gondo during the draw in Sardinia last week. If the Ivorian forward cannot recover in time, Simy - who replaced Milan Djuric from the bench on Friday - would most probably start up front, alongside Federico Bonazzoli.

Matteo Ruggeri and Mamadou Coulibaly are set to miss the game through injury too, while attacking talisman Franck Ribery is still struggling with a knee problem and is unlikely to be involved.

Salernitana possible starting lineup:
Belec; Zortea, Veseli, Gyomber, Gagliolo, Ranieri; Kechrida, Capezzi, L. Coulibaly; Djuric; Bonazzoli, Simy

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Cuadrado, Chiellini, De Ligt, Pellegrini; Bentancur, Locatelli, Bernardeschi; Kulusevski, Kean, Dybala


SM words green background

We say: Salernitana 0-2 Juventus

It is unlikely to be an exhibition of the beautiful game, but Juventus should surely have enough in the locker to see off one of Serie A's most limited sides in Salerno.

While the pressure continues to build on the men from Turin, a break from home turf should actually help them somewhat, given the disdainful response of their fans at the weekend.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.


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Game History

How you voted: Salernitana vs Juventus

Salernitana
12.9%
Draw
6.7%
Juventus
80.4%
163
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Juventus' Weston McKennie celebrates scoring their second goal on January 24, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614

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