MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 09:19:42| >> :600:149294:149294:
[monks data]
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Saint-Etienne

Brest
4 - 1
St Etienne

Honorat (7'), Duverne (23'), Cardona (33'), Mounie (38')
Brassier (30')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Camara (31')
Trauco (55')

Preview: Brest vs. Saint-Etienne - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 fixture between Brest and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brest play host to Saint-Etienne on Saturday afternoon looking to build a wider margin between themselves and the Ligue 1 relegation zone.

As for the visitors, they make the trip to Stade Francis-Le Ble having lost their last half-a-dozen fixtures in France's top flight.


Match preview

Claude Puel in charge of Saint-Etienne on October 6, 2019© Reuters

Claude Puel had been doing a solid job in charge of Saint-Etienne, recording 15 wins and eight draws from his opening 36 matches.

However, suffering six defeats in a row, as well as netting just twice during that run, has turned the tables on the Frenchman, who will be aware that he can ill-afford more setbacks over the coming weeks.

Courtesy of a strong start to the season, Saint-Etienne remain two points above the relegation zone, but how they fare during a favourable run of games will determine whether Puel keeps his job during the second half of the campaign.

Top goalscorer Romain Hamouma has not netted since the win over Marseille in the middle of September, with Saint-Etienne's last clean sheet also coming in the same game.

Having finished in 14th position during their first campaign back in Ligue 1, Olivier Dall'Oglio will be delighted that Brest sit in 13th spot at this stage of the season.

With no draws being recorded in their opening 10 matches, progress up the standings has been stop-start, but surviving in the top flight will be Dall'Oglio's main objective.

Achieving that target has been helped by a dramatic 3-2 triumph over Lille in a game which saw their opponents threaten an unlikely comeback from three goals down.

Brest have made a habit of conceding in quick succession in recent matches, something which will need to be phased out if they are ever to threaten the top 10.

Nevertheless, Dall'Oglio will be fully focused on trying to take full advantage of this opportunity, aware that it would put significant distance between themselves and the drop zone.

Brest Ligue 1 form: LWLLLW

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form: LLLLLL


Team News

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Dall'Oglio must decide whether his side's second-half performance against Lille is enough to warrant any changes.

Barring any injury issues, the same Brest XI could be given the benefit of the doubt, with Steve Mounie remaining in the side despite five matches without a goal.

Puel could recall Wahbi Khazri and Hamouna after they both started the 2-1 defeat at Lyon among the replacements.

At a time when he is alleged to have turned down a new contract at Saint-Etienne, Arnaud Nordin may be considered after injury.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Duverne, Perraud; Honorat, Belkebla, Lasne, Faivre; Mounie, Cardona

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Moulin; Camara, Moukoudi, Kolodziejczak, Trauco; Youssouf, Gourna-Douath, Neyou, Aouchiche; Khazri; Hamouna


SM words green background

We say: Brest 2-0 Saint-Etienne

While Brest have been far from perfect in recent weeks, they are in far better shape than their opponents. Their success over Lille should help them push on heading into the Christmas period, and we expect a comfortable win for the home side.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


ID:422777: cacheID:422777:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6822:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Lyon's Memphis Depay pictured in August 2020
Read Next:
Sunday's Ligue 1 predictions including Lyon vs. Saint-Etienne
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre362010668353370
2Saint-EtienneSt Etienne361971046281864
3Angers361971054411364
4Rodez AFRodez AF361511105950956
5Paris FCParis FC361510114640655
6Caen36166144643354
7Laval361410123843-552
8GuingampGuingamp361312114337651
9PauPau361312115752551
10AmiensAmiens36111693335-249
11Grenoble361212124040048
12Bordeaux36139144546-147
13Bastia36138154146-546
14Ajaccio361210143442-846
15Annecy36129154747045
16DunkerqueDunkerque36128163450-1644
17Troyes35813143947-837
18Quevilly36617134852-435
19Concarneau3698193451-1735
20Valenciennes35411202350-2723


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!