Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.56% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%) , while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.