Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT RZD Arena
  • César Montes 2' yellowcard
  • Gerzino Nyamsi 12' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Titkov 16' goal
  • Aleksandr Rudenko 71' goal
  • Maksim Nenakhov 77' yellowcard
  • A. Kovalenko 78' goal
  • goal João Batxi 5'
  • goal Lucas Olaza 86'
  • goal Jhon Córdoba 90'+1'
  • yellowcard João Batxi 90'+4'

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FC Krasnodar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 1.15pm
Fakel 0 - 5 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nikolay Komlichenko

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.30pm
Krasnodar 2 - 3 Zenit
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
João Batxi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.76% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.56%) , while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 25.14% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 29.76% ▼ (-0.06)
FC Krasnodar 45.1% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.95% ▲ (+0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 39.64% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 60.36% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 19.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 80.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 10.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.55% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 23.76% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 47.46% ▲ (+1.07)
FC Krasnodar 28.77% ▼ (-0.63)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 40.81% ▲ (+0.50)
No Goal 12.56% ▼ (-0.05)
FC Krasnodar 46.63% ▼ (-0.44)

Corners

Over 8 41.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.92% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 8 46.3% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 31.08% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 9 10.69% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 9 58.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 22.24% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 10.5 77.76% ▼ (-0.27)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 22.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 77.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 7.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.1% ▲ (+0.07)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 28.97% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 37.29% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 62.71% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 2.5 15.07% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 84.93% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 4.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.27% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 25.14%
Draw 29.77%
FC Krasnodar 45.11%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 25.14%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.05)
1-1 @ 12.35% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 29.77%
FC Krasnodar
0-1 @ 13.9% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 45.11%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 23, 2025 4.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Kevin Pina 10' yellowcard
  • Sergey Petrov 45' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 19'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Barinov 25'
  • yellowcard Sergey Pinyaev 80'
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 81'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT RZD Arena
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 3' yellowcard
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 37' yellowcard
  • Ilya Lantratov 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Sarveli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murad Musaev 4'
  • goal Joao Victor 5'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 45'+3'
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 64'
  • yellowcard Jhon Cordoba 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 84'
  • redcard Jhon Cordoba 87'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT RZD Arena
  • Maksim Nenakhov 8' yellowcard
  • Evgeny Morozov 25' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fasson 36' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Barinov 56' yellowcard
  • Maksim Glushenkov 72' yellowcard
  • Maksim Glushenkov 81' goal
  • Rifat Zhemaletdinov 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murad Musaev 9'
  • goal Timur Suleymanov 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nikita Krivtsov 11'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Chernikov 34'
  • yellowcard Kaio Pantaleao 40'
  • yellowcard Eduard Spertsyan 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Lucas Olaza 39' yellowcard
  • Ilzat Akhmetov 47' goal
  • Aleksandr Chernikov 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rifat Zhemaletdinov 54'
  • goal Anton Miranchuk 90'+7'