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Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
AZ

Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')

Preview: RKC Waalwijk vs. AZ Alkmaar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

AZ Alkmaar travel to the Mandemakers Stadion to face RKC Waalwijk on Saturday, seeking to bounce back from a defeat last time out which ended their four-game winning streak.

The hosts have lost each of their last three matches, and they face an uphill task of avoiding defeat against a side who they last beat in 2013.


Match preview

AZ Alkmaar's Albert Guomundsson celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in October 2020© Reuters

AZ Alkmaar became the latest team to be defeated by Ajax following a 2-0 loss when the sides met at the Johan Cruyff ArenA on Sunday.

An even first half ended all square and deservedly so, but the league leaders upped the ante after the interval and claimed all three points courtesy of a brace from Davy Klaassen.

Pascal Jansen's men have now fallen three points behind PSV Eindhoven in the race for second place with only four games left.

The Cheeseheads have a near-perfect record against Saturday's opponents having won nine and drawn one of the last 11 meetings between the teams dating back to 2009.

AZ's away record is also second to only Ajax's in the entire division, and they will be optimistic of another fruitful assignment on the road.

Waalwijk endured another frustrating outing as they were beaten for the third game on the bounce by Willem II, who claimed a 1-0 win on Friday.

Vangelis Pavlidis scored the decisive goal 10 minutes into the second half to settle what was a tightly contested affair.

Fred Grim's men remain in 14th place, but they are now only two points above the drop zone having picked up just four of the last 21 points available.

RKC have conceded the fewest number of goals in the bottom eight, so it is obvious that their attack has been the cause of the majority of their problems.

Finn Stokkers leads the way with five goals in 26 games which is simply not good enough for a team that aspires to remain in the Eredivisie.

RKC Waalwijk Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

AZ Alkmaar players look dejected against Real Sociedad on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Pantelis Chatzidiakos is ruled out for the clash as the Greek defender is yet to feature since suffering a knee injury against Vitesse.

Rens van der Wacht's still awaits his first outing of the season, and the 21-year-old is still a considerable way off making his return to action.

The duo of Jordy Clasie and Richard Sedlacek are expected to miss the match with ankle and knee injuries respectively.

Waalwijk's Morad El Haddouti is unfit to play due to an ankle injury which he picked up back in November when he came on as a second-half substitute.

Luuk Wouters is a doubt for the game having made only two appearances since the turn of the year because of a muscle problem.

RKC Waalwijk possible starting lineup:
Lamprou; Quasten, Touba, Meulensteen, Bakari; Anita, Van der Venne, Tahiri; Oosting, John, Daneels

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Letschert, Svensson; Stengs, Reijnders, Midtsjo; Karlsson, Boadu, Gudmundsson


SM words green background

We say: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

Prior to their defeat against the league leaders, AZ were firing on all cylinders both home and away. We expect Saturday's visitors to put that loss behind them and bounce back with a convincing victory at full time.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.69%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 18.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs AZ

RKC Waalwijk
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
AZ Alkmaar
66.7%
12
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
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4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
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9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
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12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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