Champions League
Jul 29, 2026 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Rajko Mitić
  • Cristian Chambian 3' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 45'+4' goal
  • Loizos Loizou 49' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 60' goal
  • Osman Bukari 79' goal

Red Star Belgrade vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 8.00pm
Larne 0 - 4 Red Star

Larne

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 8.00pm
Larne 0 - 4 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.23% and a win for Larne had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%) , while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (5.02%).

Result

Red Star Belgrade 66.01% (-0.19)
Draw 20.23% (+0.13)
Larne 13.78% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.29% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.09% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.32% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.68% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Star Belgrade 49.58% (+0.08)
Draw 36.46% (-0.07)
Larne 13.97%

Team To Score First

Red Star Belgrade 70.91% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.54% (+0.05)
Larne 22.55% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.35% (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 26.15% (+0.15)
Over 9 52.18% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.65% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 41.26% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 58.74% (+0.13)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 1.5 58.9% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 41.1% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 32.97% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 67.03% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 15.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 84.17% (-0.02)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 45.16% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 54.84% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 15.96% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 84.04% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 4.12% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 95.88% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.06% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.94% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 66.03%
Draw 20.24%
Larne 13.77%
Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.05)
Other @ 15.72% (-0.03)
Total : 66.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33%
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.04)
Total : 20.24%
Larne
0-1 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.02)
Total : 13.77%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Inver Park
  • Sean Graham 28' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Young-woo Seol 20'
  • goal Bruno Duarte 26'
  • goal Vasilije Kostov 55'
  • goal Bruno Duarte 67'
  • goal Muhammed Cham 85'