Women's Champions League
Sep 22, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Sara Linnea Felicia Schröder 2' goal
  • Elisa Malin Senß 8' yellowcard
  • Athenea del Castillo Beivide 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sakina Karchaoui 41'
  • yellowcard Thiniba Samoura 51'
  • goal Sakina Karchaoui 74'

Real Madrid Femenino vs Paris Saint-Germain Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions

Paris Saint-Germain Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid Femenino 52.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 22.72%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 24.8% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.78% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid Femenino 41.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 36.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Women 22.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid Femenino 59.28% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.19%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 37.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 40.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 48.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 30.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 69.17% ▲ (+0.07)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 1.5 50.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 49.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 40.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 52.52%
Draw 22.72%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 24.8%
Real Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 52.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.72%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
0-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Oct 16, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Champions League
Dec 16, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elisa De Almeida 15' goal
  • Kadidiatou Diani 60' goal
  • goal Claudia Zornoza 81'
Women's Champions League
Oct 26, 2022 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Women's Champions League
Nov 18, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Esther Gonzalez 95' yellowcard
  • goal Marie-Antoinette Katoto 33'
  • yellowcard Elisa De Almeida 67'
  • goal Sakina Karchaoui 70'
Women's Champions League
Nov 9, 2021 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marie-Antoinette Katoto 13' goal
  • Sara Dabritz 41' goal
  • Marie-Antoinette Katoto 54' goal
  • Rocio Galvez 65' goal
  • Lea Khelifi 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivana 86'