Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Johnstone Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.