Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.