Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.