PSV
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Atletico Madrid logo

2-3

Til (10'), Pepi (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (37'), Hancko (52'), Sorloth (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSV 4-3 Heracles
Saturday, December 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Next Game: PSV vs. GVVV
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
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Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Next Game: Atletico Baleares vs. Atletico
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.03% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAtletico Madrid
64.85%18.03%17.12%
Both teams to score 64.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.83%29.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.81%50.19%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.44%8.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.4%29.61%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04%29.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93%66.07%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 64.85%
    Atletico Madrid 17.12%
    Draw 18.03%
PSV EindhovenDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 7.65%
3-0 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 6.31%
4-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 4.61%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-2 @ 2.83%
5-1 @ 2.31%
5-0 @ 1.92%
5-2 @ 1.39%
4-3 @ 1.14%
6-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 2.57%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-1 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-2 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 17.12%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Atletico
2-0
PSV
Gameiro (55'), Griezmann (66')
Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
PSV
0-1
Atletico

Moreno (21'), de Jong (43')
Niguez (43')
Gabi (30'), Maria Gimenez (45')
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
Round-Of-16
Atletico
0-0
PSV
Locadia (30'), de Jong (67'), Guardado (120'), van Ginkel (121')
Feb 24, 2016 7.45pm
Round-Of-16
PSV
0-0
Atletico
Pereiro (54')
Pereiro (68')
Savic (22')