Champions League
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Guus Til 10' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 20' yellowcard
  • Jerdy Schouten 33' yellowcard
  • Mauro Junior 41' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 54' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 85' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 37'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 39'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 41'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Simeone 47'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 50'
  • goal David Hancko 52'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 56'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 90'+2'

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 4 PSV

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
Atletico 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.03% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 64.85%
Draw 18.03%
Atletico Madrid 17.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.04%

Goals

Over 2.5 70.83%
Under 2.5 29.17%
Over 3.5 49.81%
Under 3.5 50.19%
Over 4.5 30.57%
Under 4.5 69.43%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 91.44%
Under 0.5 8.56%
Over 1.5 70.4%
Under 1.5 29.61%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 70.04%
Under 0.5 29.96%
Over 1.5 33.93%
Under 1.5 66.07%

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 64.85%
Draw 18.03%
Atletico Madrid 17.12%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 7.65%
3-0 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 6.31%
4-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 4.61%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-2 @ 2.83%
5-1 @ 2.31%
5-0 @ 1.92%
5-2 @ 1.39%
4-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 64.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 2.57%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-1 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-2 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 17.12%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Gameiro 55' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 66' goal
Champions League
Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hector Moreno 21' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabi 30'
  • goal Saul Niguez 43'
  • yellowcard Jose Maria Gimenez 45'
Champions League
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jurgen Locadia 30'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 67'
  • yellowcard Andres Guardado 120'
  • yellowcard Marco van Ginkel 121'
Champions League
Feb 24, 2016 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gaston Pereiro 54' yellowcard
  • Gaston Pereiro 68' redcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 22'