Premier League Gameweek 35
May 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kevin De Bruyne 35' goal

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Wolves 3 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 73.11% (+0.14)
Draw 14.68% (-0.05)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 12.2% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.38% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 23.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 57.28% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 42.71% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 37.75% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 62.25% (+0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 94.42% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 5.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 78.34% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.66% (-0.05)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 31.82% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 31.74% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 68.26% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Manchester City 73.11%
Draw 14.68%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 12.2%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.11% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.66% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 73.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 14.68%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 12.2%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 7' goal
  • Toti Gomes 14' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 20' yellowcard
  • Joao Gomes 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sarabia 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 33'
  • yellowcard Savio 39'
  • goal John Stones 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Haaland 12' goal
  • Erling Haaland 35' goal
  • Erling Haaland 45'+3' goal
  • Erling Haaland 54' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 85' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 41'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 45'+2'
  • goal Hwang Hee-chan 53'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traore 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 66'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Ruben Dias 13' goal
  • Ruben Dias 13' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 24' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 24' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 39' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 39' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 57' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 57' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 66' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 66' goal
  • Jose Sa 82' yellowcard
  • Fabio Silva 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 17'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 17'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 58'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 58'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 59'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 59'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Doku 82'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 40' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 50' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 54' goal
Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jack Grealish 1'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 16'
  • goal Phil Foden 69'
Premier League Gameweek 33
May 11, 2022 8.15pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Leander Dendoncker 11' goal
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 7'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 16'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 24'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 60'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 78'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 84'

Build-up

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