Premier League 2 - Div 1

May 3, 2025 at 6pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City U21s
3 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Muir (76'), Samuel (90+4'), Mubama (106')
Heskey (44'), Gray (102'), Okeke (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Edwards (1'), George Copley (50')
Ferdinand (105'), Rosiak (110'), Dudziak (119')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Man City U21s 2-1 Liverpool U21s
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal U21s 2-1 Newcastle U21s
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 3-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
42.32% ( 0.78)	20.44% ( 0.07)	37.24% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 75.62% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.33% (

-0.47)

22.67% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.18% (

-0.65)

41.82% (

0.65)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83% (

0.05)

12.17% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.19% (

0.11)

37.81% (

-0.11)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.52)

13.9% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.67% (

-1.04)

41.33% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 42.32%

Arsenal Under-21s 37.24%

Draw 20.44%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 42.32%	2-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.85% Total : 37.24%