Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 3-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.