Premier League 2 - Div 1 | Gameweek 15
Feb 25, 2022 at 7pm UK
 

Man Utd U23s
5 - 2
Derby U23s

Fernandez (23'), Mejbri (63' pen.), Emeran (71'), Savage (79'), Shoretire (87')
Emeran (73'), Savage (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aghatise (54'), Cybulski (90+5')
Bardell (45+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.46%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
40.59%22.31%37.1%
Both teams to score 68.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67%32.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05%53.95%
Manchester United Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23%16.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29%46.71%
Derby County Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7%49.3%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Under-23s 40.59%
    Derby County Under-23s 37.1%
    Draw 22.31%
Manchester United Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 7.06%
0-0 @ 3.06%
3-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.07%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.1%

rhs 2.0


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