Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.59%) and 1-3 (5.35%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.