Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.81%) and 2-3 (5.11%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.