Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 38.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5%) and 2-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.