Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 39.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.05%) and 1-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.