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Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Benfica

Portimonense
1 - 5
Benfica

Beto (43')
Poha (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pizzi (45+2'), Nunez (50'), Seferovic (64', 73'), Everton (90+4')
Gabriel (6'), Otamendi (78')

Preview: Portimonense vs. Benfica - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Benfica will be looking to bounce back from a surprise defeat in their most recent match when they make the trip to Portimonense on Thursday evening.

The Eagles went down 2-1 to bottom-half side Gil Vicente at the weekend, while Portimonense continued their good form with victory at Famalicao.


Match preview

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Benfica had strung together a remarkable six-match winning run in the Primeira Liga without conceding ahead of Saturday's home match with Gil Vicente.

In all competitions, meanwhile, it was seven wins-to-nil on the bounce, making their loss against Ricardo Soares's side all the more incredible.

If the Eagles' title hopes were not already over, they certainly are now given the 12-point margin that they have to make up on leaders Sporting Lisbon.

Jorge Jesus's men were also eliminated from the Europa League by Arsenal at the last-32 stage, so they are focusing solely on the league until their Portuguese Cup final clash with Sporting Braga on May 23.

The top two sides in the Portuguese top flight are guaranteed a place in next season's Champions League group stage, but Benfica also have a six-point deficit to make up on second-placed Porto.

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Benfica are now aiming to avoid successive league losses for the first time since April 2018 when they travel to Estadio Municipal de Portimao on Thursday.

The hosts enter the match on a three-game winning run, the last two of those without conceding, and are exactly midway in the standings.

Beto's goal late in the first half proved enough to see off Famalicao last time out, and Paulo Sergio's charges could win four on the bounce in the Portuguese top flight for the first time ever.

Sixth place is enough for a European spot this season, so Portimonense do still have something to aim for in their remaining five games.

However, with Vitoria Guimaraes six points better off, Portimonense could ideally do with picking up a surprise result in midweek.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Benfica's Haris Seferovic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Benfica were without Andre Almeida and Andreas Samaris for the defeat to Gil Vicente and have no known fresh injury concerns for this match.

Jesus may look to tweak things following that rare setback, with the likes of Everton Soares, Darwin Nunez, Pizzi, Franco Cervi and Pedrinho pushing for inclusion.

Strike pair Haris Seferovic and Gian-Luca Waldschmidt have 23 goals between them in the league this term and should get the nod up top once again.

As for the home team, they lost Willyan early on in the win at Famalicao, so Pedro Sa is in line for a 10th start of the campaign.

Lucas Fernandes is Portimonense's only other known injury and suspension concern, having also sat out that most recent match.

Beto will again lead the line after scoring at the weekend, but the attacking positions around him are all up for grabs.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Possignolo, Antonio, Cande; Luquinhas, Sa, Dener; Morte, Beto, Fabricio

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Leite; Goncalves, Verissimo, Otamendi, Grimaldo; Rafa, Taarabt, Weigl, Everton; Waldschmidt, Seferovic


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica

These sides have won 11 of their last 14 games between them, though it is Portimonense who have the better record over the past month after Benfica slipped up at the weekend.

The visitors do not lose back-to-back games all that often, however, and we expect their quality to tell in this contest at Estadio Municipal de Portimao.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Benfica

Portimonense
12.1%
Draw
9.1%
Benfica
78.8%
33
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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