/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
-
Alex Hartridge
90'+2'
-
Aribim Pepple
90'+4'
-
C. Cummins
19'
-
Ethan Sutherland
78'
-
Ethan Sutherland
87'
Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fplymouth-fans-clapping-6996ea0dbc56a928967125.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Plymouth Argyle
42.33%
▼
(-0.65)
Draw
23.7%
▼
(-0.13)
Exeter City
33.97%
▲
(+0.77)
Both Teams to Score:
55.6%
▲
(+1.24)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.86%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 1.5
23.14%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 2.5
54.34%
▲
(+1.05)
Under 2.5
45.66%
▼
(-1.05)
Over 3.5
32.04%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 3.5
67.96%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 4.5
18.74%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 4.5
81.26%
▼
(-0.82)
First Half Winner
Plymouth Argyle
33.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
41.71%
▼
(-0.59)
Exeter City
25.22%
▲
(+0.62)
Team To Score First
Plymouth Argyle
49.21%
▼
(-0.07)
No Goal
6.17%
▼
(-0.30)
Exeter City
44.62%
▲
(+0.36)
Corners
Over 8
63.81%
▼
(-0.24)
Equal 8
10.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
25.36%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 9
52.22%
▼
(-0.21)
Equal 9
11.59%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 9
36.19%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 10.5
40.87%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 10.5
59.13%
▲
(+0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 1.5
42.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
57.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
19.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
80.8%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
6.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
93.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
68.05%
▲
(+0.96)
Under 0.5
31.95%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 1.5
35.65%
▲
(+1.25)
Under 1.5
64.35%
▼
(-1.25)
Over 2.5
14.69%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 2.5
85.31%
▼
(-0.88)
Over 3.5
5.15%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 3.5
94.85%
▼
(-0.46)
Score analysis
Plymouth Argyle
42.33%
Draw
23.69%
Exeter City
33.98%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0
@
8.93%
▼
(-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.33%
2-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.33%
Draw
1-1
@
11.02%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.69%
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.69%
Exeter City
0-1
@
8.04%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 33.98%
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 33.98%
Head to Head
-
Joe Edwards
15'
-
X. Amaechi
56'
-
Caleb Watts
57'
-
Caleb Watts
62'
-
Lorent Tolaj
79'
-
Jack Mackenzie
80'
-
Malachi Boateng
90'
-
R. Cole
47'
-
K. McDonald
62'
-
Jack Bycroft
63'
-
Carlos Gomes
66'
-
Ryan Rydel
67'
-
Joshua Brendan David Magennis
67'
-
I. Niskanen
74'
-
J. Aitchison
77'
-
Jayden Wareham
87'