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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
Portimonense

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 0
Portimonense


Diaby-Fadiga (12'), Singh (31')
FT

Ewerton (23')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Portimonense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Pacos de Ferreira welcome Portimonense to the Estadio da Mata Real on Tuesday afternoon as the hosts look to extend their six-game winning run.

Paulo Sergio's men, on the other hand, will be hoping they can bounce back from a disappointing defeat last time out and stay above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Os Castores defeated Tondela 2-1 on Friday to extend their unbeaten streak in the top flight to eight matches.

Their fantastic recent run of form has seen them surge up the Primeira Liga standings and has elevated them to fifth position, level on points with fourth-placed Benfica.

European qualification has now become a real possibility for Pepa's men this season and is surely the ambition of everyone involved with the club.

A win in midweek could see them leapfrog the 37-time Portuguese champions and pile further pressure on the capital club.

However, things have not been quite so rosy for Portimonense throughout 2020-21. Sergio's side have struggled for form this season, picking up just 15 points from their opening 17 league outings.

That modest tally has left them just one point and one place above the relegation playoff place and facing a battle to beat the drop in the second half of the campaign.

A 2-1 loss away to high-flying Braga on Thursday made it three games without a win for the Estadio Municipal de Portimao outfit, who could fall into the drop zone with a poor performance in midweek.

Confidence will be low within the Portimonense ranks coming into this one, but they will be hopeful that their respectable defensive record can snatch at least a point from the upcoming clash.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form: WWWWWW

Portimonense Primeira Liga form: WLWDLL


Team News

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira will be without long-term absentee Jorge Silva once again, as the 24-year-old full-back continues to suffer from a ligament injury.

He is being kept company on the sidelines by centre-forward Dor Jan, who has been on the treatment table since November.

Portimonense are still without the services of central-midfielder Lucas Fernandes. The 23-year-old ruptured his cruciate ligament back in November and is still several months away from making his return to first-team action.

He is joined in the treatment room by Pedro Sa and goalkeeper Samuel, who have failed to recover from their respective problems in time for this one.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Jordi; Fonseca, Marcelo, Gonzaga, Uilton; Carlos, Diaby, Costa; Amarel, Tanque, Singh

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Cande, Lucas, Possignolo, Anzai; Luquinha, Clemente, Ewerton; Henrique, Beto, Boa Morte


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Portimonense

Anything other than a home win is extremely unlikely in this one, given how the two teams have been playing in recent weeks. It should be a comfortable victory for Pacos de Ferreira as they continue their march up the table.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.


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Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020
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