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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
Boavista

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Boavista

Pedro (84')
Tanque (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elis (61')
Hamache (38'), Elis (45+1'), Garcia (52')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Pacos de Ferreira host Boavista in the Primeira Liga on Sunday with both sides looking to get back to winning ways after failing to win any of their last three games in all competitions.

A spell of five league matches unbeaten for the Beavers was ended by Benfica two weeks ago, while Boavista have endured goalless draws in their last two matches, most recently away at Rio Ave.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

After an unbeaten run of six games, Pacos de Ferreira have since lost their last three matches, all in different competitions against the so-called 'big three' in Portugal.

A slender 2-1 away defeat at Benfica in the Primeira Liga was swiftly followed by a 3-0 loss to Sporting Lisbon in the Taca de Portugal and most recently a 2-1 defeat to Porto in the Taca da Liga quarter-final on Wednesday.

Pacos boss Pepa was happy with his side's performance against Porto, despite failing to progress in the cup, but will now be pleased that their difficult run is over and that their next four league matches are against teams below them in the table.

The Beavers have yet to lose at the Estadio da Mata Real all season but do come up against a Boavista outfit who have beaten them in their last two home fixtures.

Pepa's men will try to bounce back from their recent run of defeats and aim to leapfrog Vitoria into fifth place, also closing in on the top three.

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

Following the sacking of Vasco Seabra, Boavista announced the return of experienced head coach Jesualdo Ferreira earlier this week.

The 74-year-old had previously been appointed Panteras boss 14 years ago but was in the job for just 46 days and failed to manage a single match for the club before he was persuaded by Porto to terminate his contract and coach a side competing for titles.

Ferreira has managed 20 clubs across a 39-year managerial career and hopes to reinvigorate Boavista's squad and use his experience to steer them away from danger.

The Panteras have had just four days to prepare with their new boss for the match against Pacos de Ferreira – a side they are unbeaten against in their last five meetings.

A much-needed victory on Sunday would be only their second in the league this campaign and could move them into the top half of the table, four points clear of the relegation zone.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form: WDWWWL
Pacos de Ferreira form (all competitions): WWWLLL

Boavista Primeira Liga form: LDWLDD
Boavista form (all competitions): LWWDDL


Team News

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira will be without Jorge Silva and Dor Jan who are both out injured but should return later this month.

Manager Pepa may have to shuffle his pack given that this will be Pacos's third match in just nine days.

Midfielder Martin Calderon and winger Adriano Castanheira might be given an opportunity to start as a result.

Boavista defender Adil Rami (muscle problem) and midfielder Miguel Reisinho (cruciate ligament rupture) will both miss out through injury.

Paulinho is also an injury concern but he is likely to recover for Sunday and start on the bench.

It remains to be seen whether Jesualdo Ferreira will make wholesale changes, but he is expected to use his trademark 4-3-3 formation.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Jordi; Fonseca, Marcelo, Baixinho, Reabciuk; Eustaquio, Costa, Calderon; Castanheira, Singh; Tanque

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Jardim; Cannon, Devenish, Awaziem, Hamache; Santos, Garcia, Show; Sauer, Njie, Gomes


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Boavista

Both sides are looking to improve their form and will see this fixture as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. Boavista have had little time to prepare with their new head coach and that may give Pacos a slight advantage on Sunday in securing a narrow victory.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
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9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
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16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
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