EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Xaver Schlager 46' yellowcard
  • Jair Cunha  73' yellowcard
  • Murillo 79' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ao Tanaka 26'
  • goal Daniel James 50'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 67'
  • goal James Justin 75'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 86'

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Nottingham Forest 44.35% (+0.01)
Draw 25.36% (-0.02)
Leeds United 30.29% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.46% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%
Over 3.5 26.51%
Under 3.5 73.49%
Over 4.5 14.66% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.34% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 31.8% (+0.02)
Draw 44.4% (-0.03)
Leeds United 23.8% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 51.42% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.09%
Leeds United 40.49% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 49.98% (-0.20)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.68% (+0.22)
Over 9 39.11% (-0.15)
Equal 9 10.87% (-0.05)
Under 9 50.02% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 29.48% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 70.52% (+0.11)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 40.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.29% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.98% (+0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 63.2% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 36.8% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.56% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.32%
Under 3.5 96.68%

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 44.36%
Draw 25.37%
Leeds United 30.28%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.18% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.01% (-0.01)
Total : 44.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.37%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Ola Aina  18' yellowcard
  • Jair Cunha  52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 32'
  • goal Anton Stach 88'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Jayden Bogle 26' goal
  • Noah Okafor 30' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49' goal
  • Daniel James 78' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  67'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 86'
Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal