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Norwich logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Everton logo

Norwich
2 - 1
Everton

Keane (16' og.), Idah (18')
Sargent (50'), Aarons (66'), Pukki (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Richarlison (60')
Keane (47')

Preview: Norwich City vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Everton will be looking to record their first Premier League victory since the start of December when they travel to basement side Norwich City on Saturday afternoon.

The Toffees are currently 15th in the table, just eight points clear of the relegation zone, while Norwich sit rock bottom of the division, having collected just 10 points from 20 games this term.


Match preview

Norwich City's Milot Rashica celebrates scoring their first goal with Teemu Pukki and Josh Sargent on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Norwich suffered their sixth straight Premier League defeat on Wednesday evening, going down 2-0 away to West Ham United, which made it eight league matches without a victory, while they have not scored a single goal in England's top flight since the end of November.

A record of two wins, four draws and 14 defeats from 20 matches has left the Canaries bottom of the table on 10 points, but they are only three points behind 17th-placed Watford, who have two games in hand.

Norwich, who beat Charlton Athletic 1-0 in the FA Cup last weekend, showed improvement in the early stages of Dean Smith's tenure, but a difficult December has kept the club in the relegation zone.

The Canaries have a huge game away to Watford on January 21, and there is a danger that the matches will start to run out for the strugglers, particularly as they have played 20 times in the Premier League this season, with each of the six teams above them having at least one match in hand.

Norwich have won two of their last four Premier League matches against Everton but have lost the last two, including a 2-0 defeat in the reverse game at Goodison Park back in September.

Everton manager Rafael Benitez, January 2, 2022© Reuters

Everton made such a strong start to the 2021-22 campaign that there were suggestions Rafael Benitez could lead the team to a top-six finish in the Premier League this season.

The Toffees have since fallen down the table, though, with a record of 19 points from 18 matches leaving them in 15th position, just eight points clear of the relegation zone.

Everton managed to record a 3-2 win over Hull City in the third round of the FA Cup last weekend but lost their last Premier League match by the same scoreline at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Merseyside giants have not actually been victorious in England's top flight since the 2-1 win over Arsenal at the start of December, but they will be the favourites to triumph this weekend and managed to record a 1-0 victory on their last visit to Carrow Road in the league in November 2019.

Benitez's side will certainly be hoping for an FA Cup run this season, but the league is once again the priority, and they are still capable of claiming a top-half finish despite their struggles in recent weeks.

Norwich City Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Norwich City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Everton Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Everton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin, August 21, 2021© Reuters

Norwich will again be without the services of Christoph Zimmermann, Lukas Rupp, Mathias Normann, Billy Gilmour and Andrew Omobamidele through injury, while Todd Cantwell remains a doubt through illness.

Joshua Sargent should be available after missing out against West Ham for personal reasons, and head coach Smith is expected to make a couple of changes to his starting XI for this match.

Jakob Sorensen could feature in central midfield for the Canaries, while Sargent could feature alongside Adam Idah, Milot Rashica and Teemu Pukki in the final third of the field.

As for Everton, Tom Davies will miss the contest through injury, while the match is expected to come too soon for Richarlison, Yerry Mina, Fabian Delph and Jarrad Branthwaite.

Alex Iwobi is also absent due to his involvement in the Africa Cup of Nations, while Lucas Digne has now left the club to join Aston Villa, with Anwar El Ghazi moving in the opposite direction.

There will be changes from the side that started against Hull in the FA Cup, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin returning to lead the line, while Jordan Pickford, Mason Holgate and Abdoulaye Doucoure will also be in the first XI.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Kabak, Hanley, Giannoulis; Sorensen, McLean; Sargent, Idah, Rashica; Pukki

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Holgate, Keane, Godfrey; Coleman, Allan, Doucoure, Mykolenko; Gordon, Calvert-Lewin, Gray


SM words green background

We say: Norwich City 1-2 Everton

Norwich will end their losing run at some point, but we are finding it difficult to back the Canaries this weekend. Everton have had their own problems this term, but the Toffees have a lot of quality, and we are expecting Benitez's side to put an important three points on the board.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:475189:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11635:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Norwich vs Everton

Norwich City
19.5%
Draw
11.7%
Everton
68.8%
154
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