Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Oscar Bobb 14' goal
  • Erling Haaland 18' goal
  • David Møller Wolfe 68' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 74' goal
  • David Møller Wolfe 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 25'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nissen Kristensen  38'
  • goal Rasmus Højlund 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 70'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 90'+1'

Norway vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Denmark

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Norway 50.01%
Draw 20.44%
Denmark 29.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.17%
Under 1.5 16.83%
Over 2.5 63.58%
Under 2.5 36.42%
Over 3.5 41.27%
Under 3.5 58.73%
Over 4.5 26.29%
Under 4.5 73.71%

First Half Winner

Norway 38.82%
Draw 35.49%
Denmark 25.68%

Team To Score First

Norway 57.36%
No Goal 3.96%
Denmark 38.68%

Corners

Over 8 48.36%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 40.49%
Over 9 37.78%
Equal 9 10.59%
Under 9 51.64%
Over 10.5 28.48%
Under 10.5 71.52%

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 52.68%
Under 1.5 47.32%
Over 2.5 28.18%
Under 2.5 71.82%
Over 3.5 12.21%
Under 3.5 87.79%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 65.14%
Under 0.5 34.86%
Over 1.5 35.95%
Under 1.5 64.05%
Over 2.5 14.95%
Under 2.5 85.05%
Over 3.5 5.75%
Under 3.5 94.25%

Score analysis

Norway 50%
Draw 20.45%
Denmark 29.53%
Norway
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 12.08%
Total : 50%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.45%
Denmark
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 5.62%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2024 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parken
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 12' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 21' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 50' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 19'
  • goal Erling Haaland 72'
International Friendlies
May 31, 2020 11.00pm