Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 23, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Nigeria
2 - 1
Tanzania

Ajayi (36'), Lookman (52')
Lookman (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

M'Mombwa (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tunisia
Saturday, December 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Tanzania

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.93% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%) , while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Tanzania
56.48% ( -0.93)	26.93% ( 0.63)	16.59% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 36.2% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62% (

-1.4)

65.38% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

-0.99)

84.16% (

0.99)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-1.01)

23.65% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-1.48)

57.76% (

1.49)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.42% (

-0.43)

52.58% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.62% (

-0.28)

86.38% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 56.48%

Tanzania 16.59%

Draw 26.91%

Nigeria	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 17.93% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.48%	0-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.63) 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.59%