Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 23, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Semi Ajayi 36' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 52' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 58' yellowcard
  • goal Charles M'Mombwa 50'

Nigeria vs Tanzania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Tanzania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.93% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%) , while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Nigeria 56.48% (-0.94)
Draw 26.93% (+0.63)
Tanzania 16.59% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.2% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.62% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 65.38% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 15.84% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 84.16% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 6.06% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 93.94% (+0.53)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 76.34% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 23.65% (+1.02)
Over 1.5 42.24% (-1.49)
Under 1.5 57.76% (+1.49)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 47.42% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 52.58% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 13.62% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 86.38% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Nigeria 56.48%
Draw 26.91%
Tanzania 16.59%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 17.93% (+0.40)
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.21)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 56.48%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.43% (+0.63)
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.91%
Tanzania
0-1 @ 8% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.59%

Build-up

Feature