NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
2 - 1
Ballymena

McCartan (16' pen.), McCullough (45+3')
Chapman (24'), McCartan (31'), McCullough (59'), McCullough (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hawe (37')
(45+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 2-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawBallymena United
49.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04)27.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.9% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.1% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)80.31% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)24.67% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.049999999999997 0.05)59.2% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.91% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 49.02%
    Ballymena United 23.68%
    Draw 27.28%
PortadownDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 14.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ballymena
2-0
Portadown
Hood (26'), Moore (90+4')
Jarvis (32')

Wylie (24'), Altintop (78')
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ballymena
0-3
Portadown

Carson (34'), Rocks (90+1')
Ukek (79'), Mayse (81'), Fyfe (86')
Altintop (23'), McCartan (58'), Mayse (82')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Portadown
0-1
Ballymena

McCawl (35')
Devine (45')
Devine (18'), Kennedy (87'), Devlin (90+4')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Portadown
1-0
Ballymena
Friel (10')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ballymena
0-0
Portadown
rhs 2.0


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