Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.